Your search found 3 records
1 Whetton, P.; Adamson, D.; Williams, M. 1990. Rainfall and river flow variability in Africa, Australia and East Asia linked to El NiƱo: Southern oscillation events. Geological Society of Australia Symposium Proceedings, 1:71-82.
Rain ; Rivers ; Flow ; Climate ; Drought ; Flood water / Africa / Australia / East Asia / China / Nile / Senegal River
(Location: IWMI-HQ Call no: P 6705 Record No: H033912)
https://vlibrary.iwmi.org/pdf/H_33912.pdf

2 Loch, A.; Adamson, D.; Dumbrell, N. P. 2020. The fifth stage in water management: policy lessons for water governance. Water Resources Research, 56(5):e2019WR026714. [doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019WR026714]
Water resources ; Water management ; Water policy ; Water governance ; Water market ; Water demand ; Water use ; Water supply ; Risk ; Political aspects ; Technology ; Uncertainty / Australia / Murray Darling Basin
(Location: IWMI HQ Call no: e-copy only Record No: H049769)
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2019WR026714
https://vlibrary.iwmi.org/pdf/H049769.pdf
(1.22 MB) (1.22 MB)
Effective management of water resources is a critical policy issue globally. Using a framework developed by Turton, and a common set of characteristics describing key stages of water demand, we examine the effectiveness of isolated technical (e.g., irrigation upgrades) and allocative (e.g., buyback) efficiency for reducing water demand to sustainable levels. We base our analysis on Australia's water reform context which offers an advanced example of applying these levers to achieve allocative and technical efficiency. The study is motivated by appreciation of the benefits from increased policy flexibility and adaptability in response to the following: potential transformations toward inflexible production systems; uncertainty associated with impacts of climate change on future water reliability; and the need for increased possible future equity between uses/users (productive/consumptive, environmental, cultural). Our results highlight that a balance between technical and allocative efficiency mechanisms is necessary, as neither is sufficient in isolation, when seeking to reduce total water use. This approach also enables a clearer representation of uncertainty in future policy choices in many global settings with respect to water demand reduction.

3 Loch, A.; Adamson, D.; Auricht, C. 2020. (g)etting to the point: the problem with water risk and uncertainty. Water Resources and Economics, 32:100154. [doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wre.2019.100154]
Water resources ; Risk ; Uncertainty ; Water supply ; Transaction costs ; Investment ; Decision making ; Water requirements ; Policies ; Assessment ; Institutions ; Models
(Location: IWMI HQ Call no: e-copy only Record No: H050130)
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212428419300350/pdfft?md5=ce9a881b97ccfc90dec6d04b95107b1d&pid=1-s2.0-S2212428419300350-main.pdf
https://vlibrary.iwmi.org/pdf/H050130.pdf
(1.08 MB) (1.08 MB)
Where we may be aware that a problem exists, but have only an incomplete description of the drivers and/or possible management solutions, we will be unaware/uncertain about future returns from, and risks to, private and public investments in capital (i.e. social, natural, economic, cultural and political). This paper explores the unawareness/uncertainty problem by coupling Arrow's states of nature approach for dealing with uncertainty with Rothschild and Stiglitz's exploration of inputs and increasing risk. This results in a modified Just-Pope production function equation isolating inputs to i) protect base capital (natural, social or private) and/or ii) generate an output. By exploring water input supply unawareness via alternative states of nature we may identify tipping points where current technology fails, resulting in irreversible losses of private and public capital tied to water inputs. We conclude by discussing the value of quantifying minimum-input requirements and identifying critical tipping-point outcomes in water systems, increased benefits/risks from transformed landscapes chasing higher economic returns, and the need for adaptive public arrangements in response. These insights may help us to understand future risk to natural capital from rising incentives to steal increasingly constrained resources that may trigger revised risk-sharing arrangements, and some limits to analyses relying on perfect foresight requirements by decision-makers.

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