Your search found 2 records
1 Tramblay, Y.; Jarlan, L.; Hanich, L.; Somot, S. 2018. Future scenarios of surface water resources availability in North African dams. Water Resources Management, 32(4):1291-1306. [doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-017-1870-8]
Water resources ; Surface water ; Water availability ; Forecasting ; Dams ; Climate change ; Models ; Evapotranspiration ; Catchment areas ; Precipitation ; Temperature ; Estimation / North Africa / Algeria / Morocco / Tunisia
(Location: IWMI HQ Call no: e-copy only Record No: H048512)
(2.00 MB)
Climate change may have strong impacts on water resources in developing countries. In North Africa, many dams and reservoirs have been built to secure water availability in the context of a strong inter-annual variability of precipitation. The goal of this study is to evaluate climate change impacts on surface water resources for the largest dams in Algeria, Morocco and Tunisia using high-resolution (12 km) regional climate models (RCM) simulations. To evaluate the atmospheric demand (evapotranspiration), two approaches are compared: The direct use of actual evaporation simulated by the RCMs, or estimation of reference evapotranspiration computed with the Hargreaves-Samani (HAR) equation, relying on air temperature only, and the FAO-Penman Monteith (PM) equation, computed with temperature, wind, radiation and relative humidity. Results showed a strong convergence of the RCM simulations towards increased temperature and a decrease in precipitation, in particular during spring and the western part of North Africa. A decrease in actual evapotranspiration, highly correlated to the decrease in precipitations, is observed throughout the study area. On the opposite, an increase in reference evapotranspiration is observed, with similar changes between HAR and PM equations, indicating that the main driver of change is the temperature increase. Since the catchments are rather water-limited than energy-limited, despite opposite projections for actual and reference evapotranspiration a decrease of water availability is projected for all basins under all scenarios, with a strong east-to-west gradient. The projected decrease is stronger when considering reference evapotranspiration rather than actual evaporation. These pessimistic future projections are an incentive to adapt the current management of surface water resources to future climatic conditions.
2 Elfarkh, J.; Simonneaux, V.; Jarlan, L.; Ezzahar, J.; Boulet, G.; Chakir, A.; Er-Raki, S. 2022. Evapotranspiration estimates in a traditional irrigated area in semi-arid Mediterranean. Comparison of four remote sensing-based models. Agricultural Water Management, 270:107728. [doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2022.107728]
Evapotranspiration ; Estimation ; Irrigated farming ; Semiarid zones ; Remote sensing ; Models ; Calibration ; Energy balance ; Surface temperature ; Soil moisture ; Vegetation / Mediterranean Region / Morocco / Marrakech
(Location: IWMI HQ Call no: e-copy only Record No: H051292)
(8.69 MB)
Quantification of actual crop evapotranspiration (ETa) over large areas is a critical issue to manage water resources, particularly in semi-arid regions. In this study, four models driven by high resolution remote sensing data were intercompared and evaluated over an heterogeneous and complex traditional irrigated area located in the piedmont of the High Atlas mountain, Morocco, during the 2017 and 2018 seasons: (1) SAtellite Monitoring of IRrigation (SAMIR) which is a software-based on the FAO-56 dual crop coefficient water balance model fed with Sentinel-2 high-resolution Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) to derive the basal crop coefficient (); (2) Soil Plant Atmosphere and Remote Sensing Evapotranspiration (SPARSE) which is a surface energy balance model fed with land surface temperature (LST) derived from thermal data provided from Landsat 7 and 8; (3) a modified version of the Shuttleworth–Wallace (SW) model which uses the LST to compute surface resistances and (4) METRIC-GEE which is a version of METRIC model (“Mapping Evapotranspiration at high Resolution with Internalized Calibration”) that operates on the Google Earth Engine platform, also driven by LST. Actual evapotranspiration (ETa) measurements from two Eddy-Covariance (EC) systems and a Large Aperture Scintillometer (LAS) were used to evaluate the four models. One EC was used to calibrate SAMIR and SPARSE (EC1) which were validated using the second one (EC2), providing a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and a determination coefficient (R) of 0.53 mm/day (R=0.82) and 0.66 mm/day (R=0.74), respectively. SW and METRIC-GEE simulations were obtained respectively from a previous study and Google Earth Engine (GEE), therefore no calibration was performed in this study. The four models predict well the seasonal course of ETa during two successive growing seasons (2017 and 2018). However, their performances were contrasted and varied depending on the seasons, the water stress conditions and the vegetation development. By comparing the statistical results between the simulation and the measurements of ETa it has been shown that SAMIR and METRIC-GEE are the less scattered and the better in agreement with the LAS measurements (RMSE equal to 0.73 and 0.68 mm/day and R equal to 0.74 and 0.82, respectively). On the other hand, SPARSE is less scattered (RMSE = 0.90 mm/day, R = 0.54) than SW which is slightly better correlated (RMSE = 0.98 mm/day, R = 0.60) with the observations. This study contributes to explore the complementarities between these approaches in order to improve the evapotranspiration mapping monitored with high-resolution remote sensing data.
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