Your search found 11 records
1 Conway, D.; Hulme, M. 1996. The impacts of climate variability and future climate change in the Nile Basin on water resources in Egypt. International Journal of Water Resources Development, 12(3):277-296.
Climate ; River basins ; Water resources ; Hydrology ; Models ; Runoff / Egypt / Nile River / Blue Nile / Lake Victoria sub-basins
(Location: IWMI-HQ Call no: PER Record No: H019179)
2 Conway, D.. 1997. A water balance model of the Upper Blue Nile in Ethiopia. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 42(2):265-286.
Water balance ; Models ; River basins ; Climate ; Rain ; Runoff ; Simulation ; Catchment areas / Ethiopia / Upper Blue Nile
(Location: IWMI-HQ Call no: P 5043 Record No: H023857)
3 Conway, D.. 2001. Understanding the hydrological impacts of land cover and land use change. IHDP Update, 1(1):5-6.
Water resources ; Rainfall-runoff relationships ; Hydrology ; Land use ; Catchment areas ; River basins
(Location: IWMI-HQ Call no: P 5690 Record No: H027803)
4 Conway, D.. 2005. Managing water in the Ruaha River Basin: the role of climate variability and risk. In Lankford, B. A.; Mahoo, H. F. (Eds.). Proceedings of East African Integrated River Basin Management Conference, Sokoine University of Agriculture, Morogoro, Tanzania, 7 – 9 March 2005. Theme six: modelling and decision aid tools: water economics and livelihoods. Morogoro, Tanzania: Soil-Water Management Research Group, Sokoine University of Agriculture. pp.420-427.
(Location: IWMI HQ Call no: CD Col Record No: H041177)
5 Weatherhead, E. K.; Knox, J. W.; de Vries, T. T.; Ramsden, S.; Gibbons, J.; Arnell, N.W.; Odoni, N.; Hiscock, K.; Sandhu, C.; Saich, A.; Conway, D.; Warwick, C.; Bharwani, S.; Hossell, J.; Clemence, B. 2005. Sustainable water resources: a framework for assessing adaptation options in the rural sector. Project T2/33 Final report. Norwich, UK: Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia. 68p. (Tyndall Centre Technical Report 44)
Climate change ; Irrigated farming ; Supplemental irrigation ; Land management ; Simulation models ; Catchment areas ; Case studies ; Groundwater recharge ; Rivers ; Farmers attitudes / UK / Wales / North Norfolk
(Location: IWMI HQ Call no: e-copy only Record No: H042176)
(0.82 MB)
6 Lankford, B.; Bakker, K.; Zeitoun, M.; Conway, D.. (Eds.) 2013. Water security: principles, perspectives and practices. Oxon, UK: Routledge. 357p. (Earthscan Water Text Series)
Water security ; Climate change ; International waters ; Water management ; Water productivity ; Water control ; Ecosystems ; River basins ; Indicators ; Households ; Sanitation ; Food security ; Sustainability ; International law ; Energy generation ; Energy consumption ; Risk management ; Economic aspects ; Private sector ; Infrastructure ; Flood control ; Human rights
(Location: IWMI HQ Call no: 333.91 G000 LAN Record No: H046263)
(1.06 MB)
7 Zeitoun, M; Lankford, B.; Bakker,K; Conway, D.. 2013. Introduction: a battle of ideas for water security. In Lankford, B.; Bakker, K.; Zeitoun, M.; Conway, D. (Eds.). Water security: principles, perspectives and practices. London, UK: Routledge. pp.3-10. (Earthscan Water Text Series)
(Location: IWMI HQ Call no: 333.91 G000 LNA Record No: H046264)
8 Conway, D.. 2013. Securing water in a changing climate. In Lankford, B.; Bakker, K.; Zeitoun, M.; Conway, D. (Eds.). Water security: principles, perspectives and practices. Oxon, UK: Routledge. pp.80-100. (Earthscan Water Text Series)
(Location: IWMI HQ Call no: 333.91 G000 LAN Record No: H046269)
9 Bhave, A. G.; Conway, D.; Dessai, S.; Stainforth, D. A. 2018. Water resource planning under future climate and socioeconomic uncertainty in the Cauvery River Basin in Karnataka, India. Water Resources Research, 54(2):708-728. [doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2017WR020970]
Water resources ; Planning ; Climate change adaptation ; Socioeconomic development ; Decision making ; Uncertainty ; Water availability ; Water demand ; Stakeholders ; River basins ; Precipitation ; Models / India / Karnataka / Cauvery River Basin
(Location: IWMI HQ Call no: e-copy only Record No: H048761)
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/2017WR020970
https://vlibrary.iwmi.org/pdf/H048761.pdf
https://vlibrary.iwmi.org/pdf/H048761.pdf
(1.75 MB) (1.75 MB)
Decision-Making Under Uncertainty (DMUU) approaches have been less utilized in developing countries than developed countries for water resources contexts. High climate vulnerability and rapid socioeconomic change often characterize developing country contexts, making DMUU approaches relevant. We develop an iterative multi-method DMUU approach, including scenario generation, coproduction with stakeholders and water resources modeling. We apply this approach to explore the robustness of adaptation options and pathways against future climate and socioeconomic uncertainties in the Cauvery River Basin in Karnataka, India. A water resources model is calibrated and validated satisfactorily using observed streamflow. Plausible future changes in Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) precipitation and water demand are used to drive simulations of water resources from 2021 to 2055. Two stakeholder-identified decision-critical metrics are examined: a basin-wide metric comprising legal instream flow requirements for the downstream state of Tamil Nadu, and a local metric comprising water supply reliability to Bangalore city. In model simulations, the ability to satisfy these performance metrics without adaptation is reduced under almost all scenarios. Implementing adaptation options can partially offset the negative impacts of change. Sequencing of options according to stakeholder priorities into Adaptation Pathways affects metric satisfaction. Early focus on agricultural demand management improves the robustness of pathways but trade-offs emerge between intrabasin and basin-wide water availability. We demonstrate that the fine balance between water availability and demand is vulnerable to future changes and uncertainty. Despite current and long-term planning challenges, stakeholders in developing countries may engage meaningfully in coproduction approaches for adaptation decision-making under deep uncertainty.
10 Bhave, A. G.; Bulcock, L.; Dessai, S.; Conway, D.; Jewitt, G.; Dougill, A. J.; Kolusu, S. R.; Mkwambisi, D. 2020. Lake Malawi’s threshold behaviour: a stakeholder-informed model to simulate sensitivity to climate change. Journal of Hydrology, 584:124671. (Online first) [doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.124671]
Climate change ; Hydrology ; Forecasting ; Models ; Water resources ; Water balance ; Rain ; Stakeholders ; Reservoirs ; Rivers ; Lakes ; Catchment areas / Malawi / United Republic of Tanzania / Mozambique / Lake Malawi / Shire River
(Location: IWMI HQ Call no: e-copy only Record No: H049529)
(2.06 MB)
Over 90% of Malawi’s electricity generation and irrigation depend on Lake Malawi outflows into the Shire River. Recent lake level declines have raised concerns over future climate change impacts, including the risk of no outflows if the Lake Malawi Outflow Threshold (LMOT) is passed. Addressing calls for model co-production, we iteratively engage stakeholders in data collection, and eliciting local system insights and management priorities, to inform the development of a Water Evaluation And Planning (WEAP) model for the Lake Malawi Shire River Basin. We use a simple model setup and manual calibration to allow for data sparsity and limited documentation of historical management decisions. The model satisfactorily captures limited observed streamflow patterns of Lake Malawi tributaries and lake level variations for the period 1960–2009, however, small errors in lake level simulation significantly affect simulation of monthly outflows. The riparian countries, Malawi, Tanzania and Mozambique contribute approximately 55%, 41% and 4% respectively to lake inflows (1960–2009 average). Forced with 29 bias-corrected global climate model projections (2021–2050) and assuming no change in current operating rules of key infrastructure, the WEAP model simulates wide-ranging changes. These include much higher lake levels that would cause downstream floods, and much lower lake levels, including 11 projections that fall below the LMOT. Both outcomes would have major implications for downstream hydropower and irrigation. Future water management plans require identification and evaluation of strategies that can address multi-year shifts in lake levels and the uncertainty inherent in future climate and hydrological model outputs.
11 Gannon, K. E.; Castellano, E.; Eskander, S.; Agol, D.; Diop, M.; Conway, D.; Sprout, E. 2022. The triple differential vulnerability of female entrepreneurs to climate risk in Sub-Saharan Africa: gendered barriers and enablers to private sector adaptation. WIREs Climate Change, 13(5):e793. [doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.793]
Climate change adaptation ; Risk ; Entrepreneurs ; Gender ; Role of women ; Private sector ; Vulnerability ; Climate resilience ; Small and medium enterprises ; Markets ; Institutions ; Access to information ; Technology ; Infrastructure ; Households ; Livelihoods / Africa South of Sahara
(Location: IWMI HQ Call no: e-copy only Record No: H051407)
https://wires.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/wcc.793
https://vlibrary.iwmi.org/pdf/H051407.pdf
https://vlibrary.iwmi.org/pdf/H051407.pdf
(8.19 MB) (8.19 MB)
The ability of businesses to adapt effectively to climate change is highly influenced by the external business enabling environment. Constraints to adaptive capacity are experienced by small and medium enterprises (SMEs) across sub-Saharan Africa, regardless of the gender of the business owner. However, gender is a critical social cleavage through which differences in adaptive capacity manifest and in Africa most entrepreneurs are women. We conduct a systematic review to synthesize existing knowledge on differential vulnerability of female entrepreneurs in Africa to climate risk, in relation to their sensitivity to extreme climate events and their adaptive capacity. We synthesize this literature using a vulnerability analysis approach that situates vulnerability and adaptive capacity within the context of the wider climate risk framework denoted in the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report. In doing so, we identify gendered barriers and enablers to private sector adaptation and suggest women entrepreneurs face a “triple differential vulnerability” to climate change, wherein they: (1) are often more sensitive to climate risk, as a result of their concentration in certain sectors and types of enterprises (e.g., micro SMEs in the agricultural sector in remote regions); (2) face additional barriers to adaptation in the business environment, including access to finance, technologies, (climate and adaptation) information and supportive policies; and (3) are also often concurrently on the frontline of managing climate risk at household levels. Since various forms of inequality often create compounding experiences of discrimination and vulnerability, we pay particular attention to how factors of differential vulnerability intersect, amplify, and reproduce.
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